Votelect Knesset 26

Asia/Jerusalem

ABCDEFGHIJK 28.3 Likud

Mean of 3 exit polls, latest published 28 Oct 2026 · latest received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST

Likud leads with 28.3 seats, 8 ahead of Yashar.

Range
Likud 27–31 seats, lead 6–11
Change
No comparable previous publication
Latest by source
SourceLikudYashar
Channel 14 3120
N12 2721
i24NEWS 2720

Party lists

PartyMeanRangeChangeSources and history
LikudBenjamin Netanyahu’s list
28.3
27–31
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 31 · N12: 27 · i24NEWS: 27

Channel 14 publications

  1. 30 seats
  2. 31 seats
YasharGadi Eisenkot’s list
20.3
20–21
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 20 · N12: 21 · i24NEWS: 20

Channel 14 publications

  1. 19 seats
  2. 20 seats
TogetherNaftali Bennett · Yair Lapid
12.7
11–15
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 11 · N12: 12 · i24NEWS: 15

Channel 14 publications

  1. 11 seats
  2. 11 seats
Joint ListYousef Jabareen’s list
10.7
9–12
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 11 · N12: 12 · i24NEWS: 9

Channel 14 publications

  1. 10 seats
  2. 11 seats
The DemocratsYair Golan’s list
9
9–9
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 9 · N12: 9 · i24NEWS: 9

Channel 14 publications

  1. 9 seats
  2. 9 seats
ShasAryeh Deri’s list
8.3
7–10
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 10 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 8

Channel 14 publications

  1. 9 seats
  2. 10 seats
Ra’amMansour Abbas’s list
7
7–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Otzma YehuditItamar Ben-Gvir’s list
6.7
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
United Torah JudaismYa’akov Asher’s list
6.7
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Religious Zionism–ZehutBezalel Smotrich · Moshe Feiglin
6.3
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 6

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Yisrael BeiteinuAvigdor Lieberman’s list
4
0–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 0 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 5

Channel 14 publications

  1. 4 seats
  2. 0 seats

— No comparable value.

Paths to government

Exit polls · 28 Oct 2026

A confidence vote needs more votes for than against. How governments are formed

Netanyahu's bloc

Likud · Otzma Yehudit · RZ–Zehut · Shas · UTJ

Channel 14 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST62 1 above 61
Party seats
  • Likud 31
  • Otzma Yehudit 7
  • Religious Zionism–Zehut 7
  • Shas 10
  • United Torah Judaism 7
N12 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:24 IST52 9 short of 61
Party seats
  • Likud 27
  • Otzma Yehudit 6
  • Religious Zionism–Zehut 6
  • Shas 7
  • United Torah Judaism 6
i24NEWS 27 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 27 Oct · 22:19 IST55 6 short of 61
Party seats
  • Likud 27
  • Otzma Yehudit 7
  • Religious Zionism–Zehut 6
  • Shas 8
  • United Torah Judaism 7

The outgoing coalition parties. This is a scenario, not an agreement for the next government. AP · 27 Oct

Eisenkot: opposition path

Yashar · Together · Democrats · Yisrael Beiteinu

Channel 14 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST40 21 short of 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 11
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 0
N12 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:24 IST49 12 short of 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 21
  • Together 12
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 7
i24NEWS 27 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 27 Oct · 22:19 IST49 12 short of 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 15
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 5

Eisenkot proposed a minority government, potentially with outside Arab-party support or abstention. Bennett and Liberman oppose relying on them; no agreement has been reached. Jerusalem Post · 24 Oct

Eisenkot + hypothetical Ra'am support

Yashar · Together · Democrats · Yisrael Beiteinu · Ra’am (outside)

Channel 14 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST47 14 short of 61
Party seats · striped: outside support
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 11
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 0
  • Ra’am (outside support) 7
N12 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:24 IST56 5 short of 61
Party seats · striped: outside support
  • Yashar 21
  • Together 12
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 7
  • Ra’am (outside support) 7
i24NEWS 27 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 27 Oct · 22:19 IST56 5 short of 61
Party seats · striped: outside support
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 15
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 5
  • Ra’am (outside support) 7

If Ra'am supported an Eisenkot minority government from outside, these seats could support it without Ra'am joining. There is no agreement; Bennett and Liberman have opposed relying on Arab parties. N12 analysis · 27 Oct

Opposition + Likud without Netanyahu

Yashar · Together · Democrats · Yisrael Beiteinu · Likud

Channel 14 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST71 10 above 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 11
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 0
  • Likud 31
N12 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:24 IST76 15 above 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 21
  • Together 12
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 7
  • Likud 27
i24NEWS 27 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 27 Oct · 22:19 IST76 15 above 61
Party seats
  • Yashar 20
  • Together 15
  • The Democrats 9
  • Yisrael Beiteinu 5
  • Likud 27

Liberman proposed Likud without Netanyahu, while Golan rejected joining Likud. This combination is an inference, not an agreement. Ynet · 15 Oct

Polymarket prices

Prediction-market prices of a Yes share on Polymarket, 27 Oct 08:17 – 28 Oct 08:17 IST.

Next prime minister

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢12:0018:0028 Oct06:00Netanyahu 48¢Eizenkot 35¢Bennett 5.0¢Lieberman 2.1¢Katz <1¢
Chart data
TimeBenjamin NetanyahuGadi EizenkotNaftali BennettAvigdor LiebermanIsrael Katz
28 Oct · 08:17 IST48¢35¢5.0¢2.1¢<1¢
28 Oct · 08:00 IST50¢35¢5.5¢2.5¢<1¢
28 Oct · 07:00 IST50¢36¢5.5¢2.5¢<1¢
28 Oct · 06:00 IST45¢30¢5.5¢2.4¢1.1¢
28 Oct · 05:00 IST52¢22¢6.0¢2.5¢1.2¢
28 Oct · 04:00 IST50¢34¢5.5¢2.4¢<1¢
28 Oct · 03:00 IST46¢32¢6.5¢2.8¢<1¢
28 Oct · 02:00 IST44¢43¢6.5¢2.0¢<1¢
28 Oct · 01:00 IST42¢46¢6.0¢1.7¢<1¢
28 Oct · 00:00 IST35¢48¢8.0¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 23:00 IST30¢50¢8.0¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 22:00 IST24¢58¢8.5¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 21:00 IST24¢63¢8.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 20:00 IST22¢63¢8.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 19:00 IST22¢63¢8.5¢2.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 18:00 IST18¢66¢9.5¢2.4¢<1¢
27 Oct · 17:00 IST22¢64¢9.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 16:00 IST22¢67¢6.5¢1.4¢<1¢
27 Oct · 15:00 IST24¢64¢6.5¢1.6¢<1¢
27 Oct · 14:00 IST26¢63¢7.5¢1.5¢<1¢
27 Oct · 13:00 IST28¢63¢6.5¢2.3¢<1¢
27 Oct · 12:00 IST28¢58¢9.5¢2.5¢<1¢
27 Oct · 11:00 IST28¢54¢9.5¢1.9¢<1¢
27 Oct · 10:00 IST28¢53¢9.0¢2.4¢<1¢
27 Oct · 09:00 IST26¢53¢9.0¢2.4¢<1¢

Most Knesset seats

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢12:0018:0028 Oct06:00Likud 99¢Yashar <1¢
Chart data
TimeLikudYashar
28 Oct · 08:17 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 08:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 07:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 06:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 05:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 04:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 03:00 IST99¢1.2¢
28 Oct · 02:00 IST97¢2.9¢
28 Oct · 01:00 IST90¢8.5¢
28 Oct · 00:00 IST82¢16¢
27 Oct · 23:00 IST80¢20¢
27 Oct · 22:00 IST32¢68¢
27 Oct · 21:00 IST26¢74¢
27 Oct · 20:00 IST26¢74¢
27 Oct · 19:00 IST26¢72¢
27 Oct · 18:00 IST24¢76¢
27 Oct · 17:00 IST22¢78¢
27 Oct · 16:00 IST22¢76¢
27 Oct · 15:00 IST24¢76¢
27 Oct · 14:00 IST28¢72¢
27 Oct · 13:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 12:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 11:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 10:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 09:00 IST30¢70¢

Official partial vote count

Central Elections Committee, election 26. Official source

Official count unavailable

Unavailable

The official source cannot be read right now. Votelect does not estimate votes or seats in its place.

Valid votes
—
Invalid votes
—
Votes cast in published rows
—
Localities reported
—

Sources

  • CEC official countStale
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 08:07 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 21:30 IST
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Kantar government poll submissionUnavailable
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Channel 13Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

  • Data24 filing catalogAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Broadcaster exit estimatesNot available
    Last checked
    Not yet
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Government poll filingsUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Kan poll archiveUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:36 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Maariv Kan articleIncomplete
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • N12Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

  • Polymarket · Most Knesset seatsAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST

    Original source

  • Polymarket · Next prime ministerAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 08:17 IST

    Original source

  • Official candidate registryUnverified
    Last checked
    Not yet
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Reviewed publicationsAvailable

    2 disputed polls across all stages, excluded from means.

    Last checked
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST
    Added to Votelect
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST

    Channel 14

    Methodological team
    Shlomo Filber

    Source

    N12

    Methodological team
    Midgam · Mano Geva
    Method
    Exit poll at sampled polling stations

    SourceCEC submission

    i24NEWS

    Methodological team
    Direct Polls · Tzuriel Sharon

    Source

  • Kan 11 · Kantar filing (archived)Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST

    Original source

  • Skarim Kan archiveUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Underwar poll archiveAvailable

    2 disputed polls across all stages, excluded from means.

    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 10:31 IST

    Original source

  • Ynet broadcaster pollsAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 07:53 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 07:53 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

How to read these numbers

Published estimates

Mean: latest comparable estimate per source series, equally weighted. Campaign: last 14 days. Sources may not be independent.

Range & change

Range: lowest to highest included estimate. Change: previous publications from the same sources.

Coverage

List names follow publications; registry matching is incomplete. Below-threshold percentages are source-specific.