Votelect Knesset 26

Asia/Jerusalem

ABCDEFGHIJK 28.3 Likud

Mean of 3 exit polls, latest published 28 Oct 2026 · received by Votelect 28 Oct · 02:58 IST

Likud leads with 28.3 seats, 8 ahead of Yashar.

Latest by source
SourceLikudYashar
Channel 14 3120
N12 2721
i24NEWS 2720

Party lists

Change: No comparable previous publication

PartyMeanRangeChangeSources and history
LikudBenjamin Netanyahu’s list
28.3
27–31
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 31 · N12: 27 · i24NEWS: 27

Channel 14 publications

  1. 30 seats
  2. 31 seats
YasharGadi Eisenkot’s list
20.3
20–21
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 20 · N12: 21 · i24NEWS: 20

Channel 14 publications

  1. 19 seats
  2. 20 seats
TogetherNaftali Bennett · Yair Lapid
12.7
11–15
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 11 · N12: 12 · i24NEWS: 15

Channel 14 publications

  1. 11 seats
  2. 11 seats
Joint ListYousef Jabareen’s list
10.7
9–12
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 11 · N12: 12 · i24NEWS: 9

Channel 14 publications

  1. 10 seats
  2. 11 seats
The DemocratsYair Golan’s list
9
9–9
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 9 · N12: 9 · i24NEWS: 9

Channel 14 publications

  1. 9 seats
  2. 9 seats
ShasAryeh Deri’s list
8.3
7–10
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 10 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 8

Channel 14 publications

  1. 9 seats
  2. 10 seats
Ra’amMansour Abbas’s list
7
7–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Otzma YehuditItamar Ben-Gvir’s list
6.7
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
United Torah JudaismYa’akov Asher’s list
6.7
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 7

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Religious Zionism–ZehutBezalel Smotrich · Moshe Feiglin
6.3
6–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 7 · N12: 6 · i24NEWS: 6

Channel 14 publications

  1. 7 seats
  2. 7 seats
Yisrael BeiteinuAvigdor Lieberman’s list
4
0–7
—

Reported seats: Channel 14: 0 · N12: 7 · i24NEWS: 5

Channel 14 publications

  1. 4 seats
  2. 0 seats

Paths to government

Exit polls · 28 Oct 2026. Scenarios, not agreements. The line marks 61 of 120 seats; a government needs only more confidence votes for than against. How governments are formed

PathChannel 14N12i24NEWSParty seats and context
Netanyahu's blocLikudOtzma YehuditRZ–ZehutShasUTJ
62
52
55

The outgoing coalition parties. This is a scenario, not an agreement for the next government. AP · 27 Oct

PartyChannel 14N12i24NEWS
Likud312727
Otzma Yehudit767
Religious Zionism–Zehut766
Shas1078
United Torah Judaism767
Eisenkot: opposition pathYasharTogetherDemocratsYisrael Beiteinu
40
49
49

Eisenkot proposed a minority government, potentially with outside Arab-party support or abstention. Bennett and Liberman oppose relying on them; no agreement has been reached. Jerusalem Post · 24 Oct

PartyChannel 14N12i24NEWS
Yashar202120
Together111215
The Democrats999
Yisrael Beiteinu075
Eisenkot + hypothetical Ra'am supportYasharTogetherDemocratsYisrael BeiteinuRa’am (outside)
47
56
56

If Ra'am supported an Eisenkot minority government from outside, these seats could support it without Ra'am joining. There is no agreement; Bennett and Liberman have opposed relying on Arab parties. N12 analysis · 27 Oct

PartyChannel 14N12i24NEWS
Yashar202120
Together111215
The Democrats999
Yisrael Beiteinu075
Ra’am (outside support)777
Opposition + Likud without NetanyahuYasharTogetherDemocratsYisrael BeiteinuLikud
71
76
76

Liberman proposed Likud without Netanyahu, while Golan rejected joining Likud. This combination is an inference, not an agreement. Ynet · 15 Oct

PartyChannel 14N12i24NEWS
Yashar202120
Together111215
The Democrats999
Yisrael Beiteinu075
Likud312727

Polymarket prices

Traders’ price of a Yes share, 27 Oct 09:33 – 28 Oct 09:33 IST. Not polls or seats. Polymarket

Next prime minister

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢12:0018:0028 Oct06:00Netanyahu 49¢Eizenkot 26¢Bennett 5.5¢Lieberman 1.8¢Katz 1.0¢
Chart data
TimeBenjamin NetanyahuGadi EizenkotNaftali BennettAvigdor LiebermanIsrael Katz
28 Oct · 09:32 IST49¢26¢5.5¢1.8¢1.0¢
28 Oct · 09:00 IST40¢35¢5.5¢1.7¢<1¢
28 Oct · 08:00 IST50¢35¢5.5¢2.5¢<1¢
28 Oct · 07:00 IST50¢36¢5.5¢2.5¢<1¢
28 Oct · 06:00 IST45¢30¢5.5¢2.4¢1.1¢
28 Oct · 05:00 IST52¢22¢6.0¢2.5¢1.2¢
28 Oct · 04:00 IST50¢34¢5.5¢2.4¢<1¢
28 Oct · 03:00 IST46¢32¢6.5¢2.8¢<1¢
28 Oct · 02:00 IST44¢43¢6.5¢2.0¢<1¢
28 Oct · 01:00 IST42¢46¢6.0¢1.7¢<1¢
28 Oct · 00:00 IST35¢48¢8.0¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 23:00 IST30¢50¢8.0¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 22:00 IST24¢58¢8.5¢2.2¢<1¢
27 Oct · 21:00 IST24¢63¢8.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 20:00 IST22¢63¢8.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 19:00 IST22¢63¢8.5¢2.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 18:00 IST18¢66¢9.5¢2.4¢<1¢
27 Oct · 17:00 IST22¢64¢9.5¢1.8¢<1¢
27 Oct · 16:00 IST22¢67¢6.5¢1.4¢<1¢
27 Oct · 15:00 IST24¢64¢6.5¢1.6¢<1¢
27 Oct · 14:00 IST26¢63¢7.5¢1.5¢<1¢
27 Oct · 13:00 IST28¢63¢6.5¢2.3¢<1¢
27 Oct · 12:00 IST28¢58¢9.5¢2.5¢<1¢
27 Oct · 11:00 IST28¢54¢9.5¢1.9¢<1¢
27 Oct · 10:00 IST28¢53¢9.0¢2.4¢<1¢

Most Knesset seats

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢12:0018:0028 Oct06:00Likud 99¢Yashar <1¢
Chart data
TimeLikudYashar
28 Oct · 09:33 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 09:00 IST99¢1.3¢
28 Oct · 08:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 07:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 06:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 05:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 04:00 IST99¢<1¢
28 Oct · 03:00 IST99¢1.2¢
28 Oct · 02:00 IST97¢2.9¢
28 Oct · 01:00 IST90¢8.5¢
28 Oct · 00:00 IST82¢16¢
27 Oct · 23:00 IST80¢20¢
27 Oct · 22:00 IST32¢68¢
27 Oct · 21:00 IST26¢74¢
27 Oct · 20:00 IST26¢74¢
27 Oct · 19:00 IST26¢72¢
27 Oct · 18:00 IST24¢76¢
27 Oct · 17:00 IST22¢78¢
27 Oct · 16:00 IST22¢76¢
27 Oct · 15:00 IST24¢76¢
27 Oct · 14:00 IST28¢72¢
27 Oct · 13:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 12:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 11:00 IST30¢70¢
27 Oct · 10:00 IST30¢70¢

Official partial vote count

Central Elections Committee. Votes, not seats. Official source

Official count unavailable. The official source cannot be read right now. Votelect does not estimate votes or seats in its place.

Sources

  • CEC official countStale
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 09:03 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 21:30 IST
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Kantar government poll submissionUnavailable
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Channel 13Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

  • Data24 filing catalogAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Broadcaster exit estimatesNot available
    Last checked
    Not yet
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Government poll filingsUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Kan poll archiveUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:36 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Maariv Kan articleIncomplete
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • N12Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

  • Polymarket · Most Knesset seatsAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 09:33 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 09:33 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 09:33 IST

    Original source

  • Polymarket · Next prime ministerAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 09:32 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 09:32 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 09:32 IST

    Original source

  • Official candidate registryUnverified
    Last checked
    Not yet
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Reviewed publicationsAvailable

    2 disputed polls across all stages, excluded from means.

    Last checked
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST
    Added to Votelect
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST
    Last updated
    28 Oct · 02:58 IST

    Channel 14

    Methodological team
    Shlomo Filber

    Source

    N12

    Methodological team
    Midgam · Mano Geva
    Method
    Exit poll at sampled polling stations

    SourceCEC submission

    i24NEWS

    Methodological team
    Direct Polls · Tzuriel Sharon

    Source

  • Kan 11 · Kantar filing (archived)Stale
    Last checked
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST
    Last successful check
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 07:09 IST

    Original source

  • Skarim Kan archiveUnavailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:32 IST
    Last successful check
    Not yet
    Last updated
    Not yet

    Original source

  • Underwar poll archiveAvailable

    2 disputed polls across all stages, excluded from means.

    Last checked
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 04:31 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 10:31 IST

    Original source

  • Ynet broadcaster pollsAvailable
    Last checked
    28 Oct · 09:23 IST
    Last successful check
    28 Oct · 09:23 IST
    Last updated
    27 Oct · 06:51 IST

    Original source

How to read these numbers
Mean
Latest comparable estimate per source series, equally weighted. Campaign uses the last 14 days. Sources may not be independent.
Range
Lowest to highest included estimate.
Change
Against previous publications from the same sources.
—
No comparable value. A missing value is never zero.
Lists
Names follow publications; registry matching is incomplete. Below-threshold percentages are source-specific.